Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 1890.369800 2064.824988 2243.311168 2439.299417 2648.177372 2863.856037 3103.108292
2024-10-20 1604.288732 1859.513277 2132.222553 2444.197696 2790.090540 3160.724961 3586.759663
2024-10-27 1365.913521 1658.524522 1981.855315 2363.380658 2798.938852 3278.365984 3843.594350
2024-11-03 1277.586348 1609.380304 1985.778670 2440.650425 2971.582021 3567.835529 4284.040632
2024-11-10 1190.891334 1550.961278 1969.199190 2485.427312 3099.759965 3801.735283 4658.481497
2024-11-17 1093.853266 1470.834957 1918.675107 2482.529295 3165.720367 3958.908416 4941.129182
2024-11-24 997.512995 1383.626263 1852.379388 2453.846379 3195.078040 4068.539658 5164.788567
2024-12-01 938.517134 1338.396677 1833.289334 2478.918605 3286.365181 4250.088082 5473.552226
2024-12-08 874.682205 1282.249453 1796.333960 2477.968384 3342.678882 4387.496357 5728.484655
2024-12-15 838.418559 1259.479246 1799.539674 2525.809579 3458.556227 4597.507080 6072.985621
2024-12-22 778.861165 1201.626941 1753.800957 2507.726199 3488.777823 4700.131045 6284.847610
2024-12-29 754.159283 1189.597143 1766.913201 2565.035086 3614.731822 4922.553968 6646.978032
2025-01-05 710.958801 1150.182036 1742.506414 2572.916216 3678.158410 5068.994189 6918.858254
2025-01-12 669.890431 1111.480294 1717.139426 2578.016506 3737.206300 5210.118525 7185.617693
2025-01-19 602.044908 1029.871312 1628.661811 2493.809435 3674.808979 5192.520067 7248.019561
2025-01-26 592.939431 1034.438380 1660.432459 2574.320975 3832.663146 5461.272564 7680.385382
2025-02-02 573.907364 1022.786187 1668.201814 2620.965352 3944.925232 5671.365899 8038.871420
2025-02-09 541.313804 988.435917 1641.604764 2617.946710 3988.668447 5791.075055 8280.329218
2025-02-16 503.371209 943.511953 1597.481857 2588.068119 3993.897962 5858.699497 8453.209010
2025-02-23 483.434838 926.045501 1592.960800 2614.185684 4076.297612 6029.526925 8763.283134
2025-03-02 457.610083 897.546343 1570.553898 2613.195892 4120.047080 6148.227453 9004.809233
2025-03-09 446.296974 892.297804 1582.972706 2663.025042 4235.651583 6365.010299 9379.042365
2025-03-16 418.818510 858.382890 1549.878481 2644.191290 4252.778452 6447.294035 9573.066800